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10 countries sitting on massive oceans of oil

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venezuela oil crude

The world powers and Iran struck a deal on Tuesday to curb Iran's nuclear program for at least 10 years in exchange for billions of dollars in relief from international sanctions.

One of the most talked-about side effects of the deal is the reentry of Iranian crude on the global markets.

Interestingly, although Iran has a huge amount of oil, the Islamic republic doesn't even make it into the top three when it comes to proven crude oil reserves.

Using the data provided by Barclays commodities analyst Michael Cohen, we put together a list of the 10 countries sitting on the greatest amounts of crude oil. Check them out below.

10. Nigeria

Proven crude oil reserves (bbl):
37.14 billion

Oil has been the dominant source of government revenues in Nigeria since the 1970s. However, the country struggled following last year's collapse in oil prices. And now Nigeria stands to "face extra competition" from the reintroduction of Iranian oil on the markets.

Source: Barclays Research, CIA Factbook



9. Libya

Proven crude oil reserves (bbl):
48.47 billion

Libya's economy is almost completely dependent on energy. Sales of oil and gas plunged sharply in 2014 after huge protest disruptions at oil ports.

Source: Barclays Research, CIA Factbook



8. Russia

Proven crude oil reserves (bbl): 
80 billion

Although Moscow stands to benefit geopolitically following the Iran deal, the return of Iranian oil to the markets is bad news for them as Tehran could go after one of Russia's European markets.

“Iran is going to be competing in Europe head-on with Russia,” Ed Morse, the head of commodities research at Citigroup, told Bloomberg.

Source: Barclays, Business Insider



See the rest of the story at Business Insider

Here’s what the world is most afraid of

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Global climate change is the top threat perceived by citizens around the world, according to a new Pew Research Center survey. It comes top of a list of six global threats put to respondents and emerged as the leading concern in most countries in Latin America and Africa. Meanwhile, people in Europe and the Middle East were more likely to cite ISIS as their number one anxiety.

Global economic instability is the second biggest concern in half of the 40 countries surveyed.

world fears map globeWorries about Iran’s nuclear programme do not rank as highly – apart from in Israel and the United States. The same is true of cyberattacks, with South Koreans and Americans most worried.

Anxiety about tensions between Russia and its neighbours, and territorialdisputes between China and surrounding countries, largely remain regional concerns.

The data comes from a survey conducted in 40 countries among 45,435 respondents from 25 March to 27 May 2015. Respondents were asked whether they were “very concerned” about each issue. Here’s the full set of responses:

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SEE ALSO: One graphic shows exactly who is responsible for climate change

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This map shows what different countries view as the greatest threat to the world

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Where people live affects their worldviews, and fear makes that fact particularly apparent.

In May, the Pew Research Center conducted a global survey in which it asked 45,435 people in 40 different countries what they view as the greatest threat to the world.

The following data reflects what respondents in various countries reported they felt "very concerned" about.

Greatest threatScreen Shot 2015 07 15 at 11.55.40 AMCheck out the full report at Pew »

ISIS

ISIS

Worldwide, 41% of people surveyed report they're "very concerned" about ISIS and with good reason. The Islamic extremist group has seized large swaths of land in Iraq and Syria since they first captured the international spotlight in June 2014. The group's swift growth as well as its use of gruesome violence to strike fear and recruit new followers has alarmed people around the world.

Hassan Hassan, author of the book "ISIS: Inside The Army of Terror," told the Wall Street Journal that ISIS will benefit from a recently signed nuclear deal between Iran and the United States and its allies by making disaffected Sunnis feel even more like the US and Iran are conspiring against them.

Frederic Hof, a former State Department policy planner on Syria says the Iran deal will in turn help ISIS recruit more people in Syria, being that Iran supports the unpopular regime of Syrian president Bashar Al-Assad, who is accused of bombing his own people. Hof believes Syrians will look to ISIS now more than ever as their only salvation.

Meanwhile, new ISIS beheading videos continue to pop up on Youtube.

Iran

Iran Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei

Iran and its nuclear program rate as the second largest concern for Americans (62% are "very concerned") and the top concern for Israel, where 53% of people are "very concerned," the most of any issue on the survey for Israelis. 

The news of a nuclear deal signed between Iran and the United States and its allies that will curb Iran's nuclear capabilities in exchange for relief from economic sanctions was met with mixed reactions in the United States and a resoundingly negative reaction in Israel.

"This is a bad mistake of historic proportions,” Israel Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said after news of the deal broke, believing that lifting sanctions on Iran, an enemy of Israel, will now have a sure path to developing nuclear weapons. 

President Barack Obama, however, believes the deal is the best way to lessen tensions between the United States and Iran.

"My hope is that building on this deal, we could continue to have conversations with Iran that incentivize them to behave differently in the region,"Obama said at a White House press conference on Wednesday. 

China

Chinese Army Hackers

Chinese aggression is a concern largely centered in Asia, where 31% of respondents report they're "very concerned." The nations most concerned about China are Vietnam (60%), the Philippines (56%), and Japan (52%).

Their concerns are likely rooted in China's construction of military bases in the South China Sea, many of which are uncomfortably close to neighboring states. 

"As China seeks to make sovereign land out of sandcastles and redraw maritime boundaries, it is eroding regional trust and undermining investor confidence,"US Deputy Secretary of State Antony Blinken said in May. "Its behavior threatens to set a new precedent whereby larger countries are free to intimidate smaller ones, and that provokes tensions, instability and can even lead to conflict."

Chinese President Xi Jinping has also been accused of human rights abuses, and recently drew outrage from the international community after detaining 145 human rights lawyers and activists perceived as foes to the Communist Party in China. 

SEE ALSO: The 12 most corrupt countries in the world

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NOW WATCH: This animated map shows how different our oceans will be by 2050

Russia's recession is so bad it's changing people's smoking habits

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russia smoking cigarettesRussia's economy has been hit hard in the past year.

The drop in oil prices and sanctions imposed by the west have put the nation into an economic tailspin. GDP growth is negative and trade is on the decline.

It's even gotten so bad that it's started to impact one of Russians' favorite activities: smoking.

According to the Wall Street Journal, some 44 million Russians were smokers in 2013, around 40% of the population. For Phillip Morris International, Russia was the second-largest cigarette market outside of China, accounting for 9% of the tobaccomaker's profits.

"The decline in cigarette industry volume accelerated to 4.2% in the quarter resulting in a June year-to-date decrease of 6.5%. We now expect a full year decline towards the lower end of our 8% to 10% forecast range," said Jacek Olczak, CFO of Phillip Morris, in an earnings call last week.

Moscow, with support from President Vladimir Putin, decided to attempt to curb the activity in 2014 by passing stringent anti-smoking laws. Citizens can no longer smoke in public places or buy cigarettes from street stalls. This combination of tighter regulation leading to higher prices and a weaker economy is seriously hurting the cigarette markets, with a double digit drop in smoking last year and another serious decline coming.

While the total volume may signify the tighter regulatory situation, there is another sign that the economy is impacting the tobacco market. Russians are buying cheaper cigarettes.

"The economic environment remains fragile and we are witnessing some signs of down-tradings to the low price segment," said Olczak. Down-trading is the practice of deciding to switch from an expensive cigarette to a cheaper one. In Phillip Morris' quarterly report they noted a the biggest brand growth in Russia is in their low-price cigarette, Bond Street. 

"I mean, the super low-price segments are losing, the low-price is gaining, and the premium is slightly losing. So yes you have a down-trading," said Olczak, citing "micro headwinds" multiple times as the reasons for the down-trading. There was an uptick in sales of the premium Parliament brand, but that was offset by a drop in sales of their mid-level Marlboro brand.

Filings from other large tobacco sellers, such as the UK-based companies Imperial Tobacco and British American Tobacco, also noted the difficult conditions in Russia.

It seems that the economic downturn in Russia has made its impact felt all the way from the oilfields of Siberia to the cigarette cartons in Moscow.

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Senator: The US is committing a 'strategic blunder' by removing troops from the Arctic as Russia digs in

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The US is committing a "strategic blunder" by removing nearly 3,000 Army personnel from the Arctic as Russia continues its push to militarize the region, Senator Dan Sullivan (R—Alaska) told Anchorage-based KTVA on Sunday. 

"This is a strategic mistake, a strategic blunder in my view by the Department of Defense," Sullivan told KTVA. As part of the US Army drawdown from a force of 490,000 to 450,000 active-duty soldiers, the Army set to remove 2,600 troops from the US's largest state. 

This reduction comes as Russia is aggressively increasing its military presence in the Arctic region. The Kremlin has listed the Arctic as one of three key geopolitical regions for the country's security and has started develop military ports and bases throughout Russia's vast Arctic coastline.

This growing interest in the Arctic as a strategic frontier is a partial result of the environmental transformation of the region as a result of climate change. As ice coverage decreases, Arctic shipping lanes will become more heavily trafficked and massive reserves of natural resources will become exploitable.

The US estimates that a significant proportion of the Earth’s untapped petroleum — including about 15% of the world's remaining oil, up to 30% of its natural gas deposits, and about 20% of its liquefied natural gas — is stored under the Arctic seabed.

Sullivan noted that Alaska's geographic proximity to Russia makes the state even more important, as tensions with the Kremlin continue to simmer over Russian policy in Ukraine. Sullivan believes that the US should place more than just Army forces in Alaska, calling for an increased number of "Coast Guard, icebreakers, and a naval presence [in the state]."

Russia Militarization Arctic

Currently, the US only has two heavy diesel icebreakers and one medium icebreaker compared to Russia's dozen icebreakers in service. While these are not a direct military tool, the vessels play a multifaceted role in any nation's Arctic strategy. The vessels allow a range of other merchant, survey, and military ships to ply through the Arctic ice safely year-round.

The difference in icebreaker strength also highlights Russia's special focus on the militarization of the Arctic. As the US reduces military personnel in the far north, Moscow has undertaken a construction blitz across the Arctic to establish military superiority in the region. Russia is constructing ten Arctic search-and-rescue stations, 16 deepwater ports, 13 airfields, and ten air-defense radar stations across its Arctic coast. 

Moscow has also created a Joint Strategic Command North from components of its Northern Fleet in order to maintain a permanent military presence in the region. 

SEE ALSO: US Coast Guard chief: We are 'not even in the same league as Russia' in the Arctic

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NOW WATCH: We went inside a secret basement under Grand Central that was one of the biggest World War II targets

A Russian recruit just explained why foreign fighters value ISIS over their own families

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Screen Shot 2015 07 21 at 10.35.01 AM"I love my mom very much ... When I start to think about my mother, my God, it's as if my heart is breaking."

These words are from the opening lines of a post shared by Russian-speaking fighters for the militant group Islamic State (IS) on the VKontakte social network, originally written by Abu Umar Grozny, the Chechen commander of IS's North Caucasian battalion Al-Aqsa.

Although Grozny's VKontakte account has now been banned, the post was most recently shared on July 15 by a pro-IS account belonging to Said Murtuzaliev. The post first appeared in June.

In his post, which is aimed at recruiting new Russian-speaking IS militants, Grozny openly admits his love for his mother and his pain at being parted from her but says he joined IS despite this.

Grozny, whose nom de guerre indicates he is from the Chechen capital, also expresses harsh criticism for men who do not join IS because they say they would miss their mothers too much.

'It's Too Painful To Phone Home'

In the first part of the post, Grozny recalls his mother's maternal traits, including her "good heart, her love for her children, her concern ... her ability to sense your condition even at hundreds of kilometers' distance from you ... her pain when she worries about you, her longing."

And the Chechen militant shows he is fully aware how he has upset his mother by leaving her and joining IS in Syria. He says it is "difficult" for him to "hear her grieving voice" and to "hear how she weeps."

His mother's grief, and the emotional reaction he has to it, prevents Grozny from calling home.

isis child soldier"I rarely phone her because I hear her answer with all my heart, and her grief makes things hard for me," Grozny writes.

The IS militant goes on to imagine what he would do if his mother were suddenly to appear beside him.

"I would hug her tight and not let go," he wrote. "I miss her so much, her scent, her smile, her tired eyes."

Real men wage jihad

Grozny's admission that he misses his mom, as well as his empathy for his mother's own suffering and his understanding that he caused that pain, appear at odds with IS's culture of hyper-masculinity, macho toughness, and brutality.

But through his post, Grozny is expressing a new kind of "IS masculinity" where militants must accept the sacrifice of personal pain for the greater good of the IS project.

isis militantsThis concept is part of a wider narrative of "IS manliness" that is emerging among Russian-speaking militants in Syria and Iraq, and which Grozny exemplifies.

A prominent and well-respected battalion among North Caucasian IS fighters, Grozny is most often photographed in military fatigues, many times carrying a weapon. Yet Grozny has also shared a "softer" side of his personality, including by posting photographs of his children and self-portraits of himself with other militants.

In doing so, Grozny appears to be seeking to create a new idea of "IS masculinity" by demonstrating how "real" militants should behave.

poem isis mother
In the poem, Abu Umar Grozny professes his love for his mother.

But there is a deeply sinister side to this. Not only should they be good comrades to their fellow IS fighters, "real" men should also raise "IS babies," the next generation of militants. 

And in his open admission of strong emotion for his mother, Grozny is arguing that by joining IS and hurting his family, he is being a real man.

Grozny suggests that the intense emotions he and his mother experience are nothing compared with the suffering of Muslim women in the wider Ummah, or global Muslim community.

"What are my mother and her tears to me when the tears of thousands and thousands of mothers of this Ummah have not yet dried?" Grozny asks.

"I didn't feel the pain of the mothers, I didn't feel how despair breaks fathers, I didn't feel the pain of the sisters [Muslim women] thrown in dungeons, only because I and others like me were cowards."

isis bridesGrozny suggests that true manliness is to be found in elevating the pain felt by the global Muslim "family" over one's personal pain, and joining IS to fight for "all Muslims."

Grozny's claim that he fights for the global community of Muslims is nothing new. It is a standard element of IS's recruitment propaganda, as is his suggestion that IS is avenging Muslim women in Syria.

This recruitment narrative does not mention IS's brutality toward Sunni Muslims who oppose it or who are deemed to have committed crimes. IS has carried out mass killings of Sunni tribes in Iraq, who belong to the same "global Ummah" for which Grozny says he is fighting. <

Grozny also ignores IS's treatment of religious minorities in Iraq and Syria, and of Shi'ite Muslims, whom the extremist Sunni group believes are "apostates." A video from January shows a close associate of Grozny, a militant named Mansur Shishani who has since been killed, kicking and stamping on a Shi'ite hostage, who is referred to as a "Rafidite," a religious slur meaning "Shi'ite."

Mother is Dear, father is dear — But not as dear as IS

isisContinuing with his recruitment pitch, Grozny says that "real" militants must prioritize their love for Islam over their love for their families and must not use their mothers as an excuse for not joining IS.

"Woe betide those whose love for their parents is greater than their love for Allah!" he writes.

In a chilling conclusion, Grozny appeals to Russian-speaking Muslims to join IS by calling on them to recognize his humanity.

"I find it strange to hear how certain brothers [male Muslims] talk about how they can't leave their parents, that they will die of grief," he writes. "Are your parents better than ours? Or do you think we don't have hearts?"

SEE ALSO: A British man who planned to join ISIS has been charged with plotting to attack US military in the UK

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NOW WATCH: Turkey's Latest Plan To Drain $3 Million A Day From ISIS Is Working

The battle over eastern Ukraine is coming to a head

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Members of the self-proclaimed Donetsk People's Republic forces sit on armored vehicles after withdrawing them further from the frontline in a field on the suburbs of Debaltseve in Donetsk region, Ukraine, July 21, 2015. REUTERS/Kazbek Basaev

Just one sentence, inserted into a complex piece of legislation, caused some to wonder whether Kiev has been sold out by its Western allies.

One sentence that was too much for many Ukrainians. One sentence that was not enough for the Kremlin. One sentence that the United States reportedly lobbied heavily for to assure that Kiev was holding up its end of the Minsk cease-fire.

The sentence: "The particulars of local government in certain districts of the Donetsk and Luhansk regions are to be determined by a special law." 

This controversy over that one sentence in amendments to the Ukrainian Constitution aimed at devolving some power to the regions is the latest step in the delicate, duplicitous, and dangerous dance between Ukraine and Russia in the twilight of the Donbas war.

From the moment the ink dried on the Minsk cease-fire back in February, it was obvious that the thorniest problem to solve would be how the separatist-held areas of Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts would ultimately be reintegrated into Ukraine.

War is politics by other means and the Kremlin's goals in Donbas are ultimately political.

Vladimir Putin may have once dreamed of seizing all of what his propagandists call Novorossia — the strip of land from Kharkiv to Odesa — and establishing a land bridge to Crimea.

But that's off the table now and he is clearly not interested in annexing the war-ravaged and economically devastated enclaves his separatists currently hold.

"The Kremlin, for its part, is losing interest in the armed conflict it helped create: It wants to move on from military interference in Ukraine to quieter political destabilization," political commentator Leonid Bershidsky wrote in Bloomberg View. 

The autonomy dance

Russia is seeking to have the rebel-held areas enjoy broad autonomy inside Ukraine — a status similar to that enjoyed by Republika Srpska in Bosnia-Herzegovina. And Moscow wants this status enshrined in Ukraine's constitution. A Ukraine decentralized to the point of dysfunction, after all, would make it all the easier for Moscow to meddle in Kiev's affairs.

Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko is no fool. He knows this is Russia's game. And when he presented his proposals for constitutional reform last month — a decentralization plan for all of Ukraine — it made no specific mention of any special status for Donetsk and Luhansk.

Ukraine's President Petro Poroshenko gestures as he proposes his project of changes in the constitution on decentralizing power in Kiev, Ukraine, July 1, 2015. REUTERS/Valentyn Ogirenko But the fact that the version of the law now before parliament does — and the fact that US Assistant Secretary of State Victoria Nuland traveled to Kiev and met with lawmakers on the day they voted for its first reading — has made many in the Ukrainian capital nervous.

"Has the United States sold out Ukraine in exchange for Iran and Syria?" asked a headline in Gordonua.com

Likewise, in an interview with that same publication, Taras Stetskiv, a former member of the Ukrainian parliament, asked: "What exactly has Russia bought with its signature under the deal to close down Iran's nuclear program? At least a special status for the Donbas in the constitution, and that's why Nuland came to control the vote."

But while Ukrainians like Stetskiv may be suspicious that they have been sold out to Moscow, the Kremlin and its surrogates were unsatisfied.

"Poroshenko's amendments to the draft constitution are a far cry from the Minsk agreements and close only to the political whims of Poroshenko himself,"Aleksei Pushkov, chairman of the State Duma's Foreign Affairs Committee, tweeted. 

Kicking the can

Political analyst Vladimir Socor wrote that "many Western officials are fearful that failure to wrap up a political settlement" on the status of Donetsk and Luhansk by the end of 2015, as stipulated by the Minsk agreement, "could free Russia to 'escalate' again the military hostilities."

As a result, Socor wrote, Ukraine's Western allies are pressuring it into fulfilling these political provisions of the ceasefire despite Moscow's failure to fulfil its end on the military side by ceasing military operations and pulling back heavy weapons.

A fighter with the separatist self-proclaimed Donetsk People's Republic Army sits atop a tank at a checkpoint along a road from the town of Vuhlehirsk to Debaltseve in Ukraine, in this picture taken February 18, 2015.  REUTERS/Baz RatnerWhat Poroshenko effectively did is kick the can down the road a bit.

The legislation that will ultimately determine how much autonomy the rebel held areas will be granted — the one referenced in the constitutional amendments — won't be drafted and debated until the autumn, when lawmakers return from their summer recess.

So Kiev hasn't given Moscow what it wants, enshrining a special status for Donetsk and Luhansk in the constitution — at least not yet. But it did just enough to satisfy Western powers who are eager to demonstrate that Ukraine is adhering to the Minsk agreement.

It's a clever tactic. But one has to wonder if there is a strategy.

Because what eventually happens with the rebel-held areas of Donbas is crucial to Ukraine's future.

If they are reintegrated the way Moscow wants them to be — with broad autonomy and the separatist forces legitimized as their political elite and police force — then Ukraine's sovereignty will be severely curtailed. Integration with the West will be off the table.

If you want to see Ukraine's future under this scenario, just look at Bosnia.

Some observers, most notably Alexander Motyl of Rutgers University, have argued strenuously that it is in Kiev's best interests to just let the territories go.

Members of the Ukrainian armed forces gather on the roadside near the village of Vidrodzhennya outside Artemivsk, Donetsk region, Ukraine, June 9, 2015. "If Kiev were bold, it would countenance giving the occupied territories the independence that its separatist leaders say they want or have,"Motyl wrote recently. 

"Think about it. If Kiev took the initiative, it could, in one fell swoop, establish clarity in its east. If the enclave were independent, all talk of 'civil war,' autonomy, and 'economic blockades' would cease, and the only issue would be the Russian war against Ukraine proper."

Motyl acknowledges that such a move "would outrage Ukraine’s hyper-patriots and the pro-Kiev eastern Ukrainians who’ve been fighting for their homeland in the Donbas" and is therefore unlikely.

Instead, the best worst option for Kyiv would be to "freeze the conflict and let the enclave drift away."

Which, by kicking the can down the road a bit, might be exactly what Poroshenko is doing.

SEE ALSO: Russia's huge military upgrade hit another snag — and Putin is not happy

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Russia is testing new intercontinental missiles and it could intensify the crisis with the US

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Missiles

Russia is working on the third stage of developing and designing the Sarmat heavy intercontinental ballistic missile. An official said the tests are expected to start in 18 to 24 months.

The Sarmat heavy ICBM will replace the current Voyevoda ICBM in the Russian Strategic Missile Force, known to NATO as SS-18 Satan. Union of Geopolitics Chairman Konstantin Sivkov said the SS-18 Satan is among the outdated missiles in the Russian arsenal.

Sivkov said the Russian armed forces would get Yars-type missiles. The outdated ones include the MR-UR-100, which is from the 1970s. The R-36M2 Voyevoda, or Satan SS-18, will be removed from service partially as well. Sivkov earlier told Pravda, “They will be replaced with the new Sarmat missile, the performance of which will be equal to that of Satan.”

Russia has been critical of U.S. policy regarding the storage of heavy weapons in several Eastern European nations and the Baltic states. According to Washington, it is an attempt to ease the insecurity caused by the Russian intervention in Ukraine as well as the annexation of Crimea.

The Kremlin, however, called the decision “the most aggressive step by the Pentagon and NATO” since the Cold War. According to a senior official, it leaves Russia with no other choice but to strengthen its western border with more missiles, airplanes, artillery, tanks and troops.

Aide to the Strategic Missile Force Commander Igor Denisov confirmed Tuesday Russia would reach the testing stage for the heavy missile in the next 18-24 months. He added the development and design work was underway, the government's Tass news agency reported.

President Vladimir Putin has said Russia will deploy more than 40 nuclear intercontinental ballistic missiles capable of overcoming any missile defense system. The Japan Times reported the current political situation between Russia and the United States could revive the Cold War.

SEE ALSO: A Reuters photographer provides a disturbingly intimate look into the Klu Klux Klan

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NOW WATCH: 11 facts that show how different Russia is from the rest of the world


Russia says shale drilling technology will impact prices more than Iran's return

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shale oil workers technologyWhile many observers believe the deal Iran struck with six world powers over its nuclear program may depress oil prices even further, Russia’s energy minister says the cost of producing shale oil is likely to have an even bigger impact on the world market.

Iran’s deputy oil minister, Mansour Moazami, says his country’s crude exports would nearly double eventually from 1.2 million barrels per day to 2.3 million barrels once the sanctions are lifted, and Tehran has urged fellow OPEC members to adjust their output accordingly in order to keep prices stable.

Speaking with reporters on July 16, Russian Energy Minister Alexander Novak said it appears that the world market, if not OPEC itself, has done just that.“I think there will be no significant impact because the market has already weighed in [the expected increase in Iranian supplies],” he said. “The cost of shale oil production will have a more significant impact on prices.”

The minister noted that, on average, the cost of producing shale is now between $50 and $65 per barrel, about the same market price of a barrel of oil today. For now, at least, that leaves many shale producers in the United States will little or no profit margin.

But if the price of oil rises, U.S. shale drilling would increase. So far, Novak said, the low price of crude has cut the number of drilling rigs in the United States by nearly two-thirds, from 1,600 to 650. But he noted that shale drilling is becoming more efficient and less expensive thanks to improvements in technology. For many drillers, he said, “shale is feeling very well” even at today’s low prices.

In fact, Statoil, Norway’s government-run energy company, lately has been producing shale more efficiently in the Eagle Ford shale field in southern Texas. It’s cut the number of its rigs there from three to two since 2014, yet it has managed to increase production by fully one-third.

At the same time, Statoil has reduced its average drilling costs from $4.5 million to $3.5 million per well, in part by accelerating drilling from 21 days to 17 by both more efficient planning and laying off crews that work more slowly.

But how OPEC responds to Iran’s return is still not clear, Novak said, because there is no word yet whether the cartel’s other 11 members will reduce their own production. The group’s agreed-on limit is 30 million barrels per day, but production has been exceeding that by at least 1 million barrels per day for quite some time.

Novak said he and Abdullah al-Badri, OPEC’s secretary-general, will meet in Moscow on July 30 to “discuss the situation on the oil and gas market on the whole, taking into account the lifting of sanctions on Iran.”

In June, Novak met in Russia with Saudi Oil Minister Ali al-Naimi, where the two agreed that there was no need for either his country or OPEC to reduce oil production because they believed that the market alone will dictate the price of crude.

Russia, too, has no plans to cut production, Novak said. It has been producing oil at a rate of more than 10 million barrels per day, a record high since the breakup of the Soviet Union, and is expected to keep output at that level in 2016.

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China is betting on North Korea in a gamble to save its rustbelt

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Visitors take in the view towards Russia, left, and  North Korea, right, from Hunchun, in China's northeast Jilin province, which could be turned into a regional Asian trading hub

Hunchun (China) (AFP) - At China's very farthest limits, a town sandwiched between North Korea and Russia stands at the heart of Beijing's plan to revitalise its bleak, frigid northeastern rustbelt.

Beijing has a vision of turning the nondescript outpost of Hunchun into a regional Asian trading hub, and is spending tens of billions of dollars to turn it into reality.

Less than 70 kilometres away in North Korea, the port of Rason offers access to the sea and a shorter trade route to Japan, one of China's biggest trading partners, than almost any of its own harbours. 

But the ambitious plan relies on Russian and North Korean co-operation and implementation, making it a monumental gamble.

"Hunchun is the effective tip of the commercial spear for China as it tries to get more reliable access to the sea," said Adam Cathcart, a professor at Leeds University in Britain who also runs SinoNK.com, a website on China-North Korea relations.

"China is more broadly trying to make its frontiers more prosperous and open in terms of trade and less restive and more easily controlled," he added.

Hunchun has a population of only 225,000 but received investments totalling more than 100 billion yuan ($16 billion) last year from government and private sources, according to the commerce ministry.

A 42 billion yuan high-speed railway running 360 kilometres (225 miles) and connecting it to the Jilin provincial capital Changchun is slated to open by October.

City officials have budgeted 30 billion yuan to build a tri-national tourist zone enabling visitors to play golf in Russia during the day, dine in China and then gamble at a North Korean casino for the evening.

But the North can be a difficult business partner. 

Pyongyang has long earned hard currency from seafood exports but restaurateur Li Zhao pointed to a tank of North Korean king crabs he sells for more than 250 yuan each.

"There's no predictable supply for these crabs, sometimes we'll have too many and then none at all for weeks," he said. "It's not worth the hassle."

North Korea

Dusty offices

China's northeast used to be the country's industrial heartland, but market reforms introduced in the 1980s and 1990s led to massive layoffs at the state-owned companies that dominated the region. 

Chinese President Xi Jinping visited Jilin at the weekend and stressed the area's importance to economic restructuring and international co-operation, the official Xinhua news agency reported.

But last year China's three northeastern provinces -- Heilongjiang, Jilin and Liaoning -- took three of the bottom four positions in China's provincial economic growth table.

Many of Hunchun's ethnic Korean Chinese citizens have left to work for South Korean companies, either in China or the South itself, like Jin Huxin, who only returned from Shanghai because her mother fell ill.

"Anyone with education or skills has already left to find work elsewhere, but if the government wants this massive trade hub to succeed, they need qualified workers," she said.

The only foreigners to be seen were a few Russian customers in Hunchun's main shopping area.

China's biggest northern neighbour has economic problems of its own, battered by Western sanctions over Ukraine and low energy prices.

At the Sino-Russian Trade Complex, a business park on Hunchun's outskirts, the 2,700-square metre (3,200-square yard) China Restaurant, topped with a Cyrillic sign, had long been abandoned.

A dusty office building called the International Trade Center was available for rent.

china bridge north korea

'Completely unpredictable'

China's biggest joint economic project with the North so far has been in Rason, a special economic zone where it invested in two ports.

But visitors describe little shipping and only a handful of operating businesses, while many Hunchun locals say relations with North Korea have been frigid in recent years.

Two Chinese entrepreneurs who have done business in Rason said their confidence was deeply shaken in 2013 when Pyongyang purged and executed Jang Song-Thaek -- previously its point man on relations with China.

In the article announcing his death and branding him a "traitor", the official Korean Central News Agency said Jang sold "off the land of the Rason economic and trade zone to a foreign country for a period of five decades".

Chinese entrepreneurs describe arbitrary delays and a frustrating business climate.

"Doing business in North Korea is completely unpredictable, they're really irresponsible," Peter Wu told AFP.

He has been negotiating for almost a year to build a factory in North Korea to make a medicinal herbal drink for export to China, but after spending more than 100,000 yuan has nothing to show for his efforts.

"There's silence for months on the North Korean side and then finally, just when you think you've reached a deal, all the rules change and you need to start over."

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Chilling predictions for what the world will look like in a decade

Russia's economy is so bad, unemployed migrant workers are turning to the Islamic State

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tajik migrant worker moscow

Tajik workers in Russia were hit hard by new migrant laws and the ruble's devaluation over the last year.

And now a small number of them looking to the Islamic State because they see no other economic options.

"Islamic State recruiters are at the ready, offering large sums of cash to desperate, unemployed worked to go fight in Syria,"writes Karoun Demirjian in the Washington Post. "And many — given the lack of options in the poorest of the former Soviet republics — are answering the call."

“If our citizens who are without work, who are young, who don’t have a salary, who don’t have a life, are offered a golden city and told ‘you can earn more money, you can improve your conditions’ — naturally he would feel that he would be much better off going to fight in Syria,” Mavjuda Azizova, of the International Organization for Migration’s Tajikistan office, told WaPo in an interview.

"In most cases, those people that go are very poor. It's not about religion, it's about poverty," Oinihol Bobonazarova, a well-known human rights activist, told WaPo.

It's important to emphasize that the Tajiks who are turning to the Islamic State form a small minority. In total, approximately 400 Tajiks have gone in Syria and Iraq, according to the International Crisis Group.

Tajikistan, one of the most remittance-dependent countries in the world, traditionally sends about half of its working-age males to work in Russia.

However, as of June 2015, the number of Tajik nationals in Russia plunged an estimated 20% down to about 1 million workers from 1.2-1.3 million the previous year, according to Vedomosti

Screen Shot 2015 07 22 at 11.39.37 AMThis isn't completely unexpected because migrant workers are facing two major problems: the ruble's devaluation and increased costs associated with finding work.

With the ruble's fall against the US dollar, migrant workers' wages are now worth less than they used to in their own national currencies. That's a problem, according to the head of the Tajik Migrants Workers, Karmot Sharipovas Tajik workers in Russia have high-interest rate loans in dollars back home, and now that the ruble was weaker, workers needed to find work elsewhere to pay off loans.

Additionally, it's getting more and more expensive for migrant workers to find jobs. Starting on January 1, migrant workers in Russia have to take a mandatory exam about Russian culture, history, and language that costs 30,000 rubles (~$500). Plus, they have to get expensive permits and pay monthly fees for their jobs.

Remittances made up an equivalent of 49% of Tajikistan's GDP in 2013. However, last year the number fell by about 8%, and the number is projected to decline another 23% in 2015, according to EurasiaNet.

“If the authorities could make it possible for people to work and live, I do not think there would be any radical groups — people would not want to join,” Hikmatullo Saifullozoda, head of the analytical center of the Islamic Revival Party, told WaPo.

 

SEE ALSO: 10 countries sitting on massive oceans of oil

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Russia may have to scrap its plans to build a fifth-generation stealth bomber

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russia tu-160 bomber

Russia's new fifth-generation bomber project has been put on the back burner and the plane won't enter production for nearly a decade, Zachary Keck reports for the National Interest citing Russian officials. 

The Kremlin planned on introducing its fifth-generation PAK DA bomber into service starting in 2023. However, the PAK DA project has been pushed back and Russia will instead focus on production of an updated version of the Soviet-era Tu-160 supersonic nuclear bomber.  

“According to the plans, serial production of the [Tu-160] aircraft new version [the Tu-160M2] is to be implemented starting from 2023,” Russian Deputy Defense Minister Yuri Borisov said at a press conference on July 17. "The PAK DA project will be somewhat shifted beyond [2023], otherwise there is no sense in it." 

According to Russia Beyond the Headlines, the decision to begin constructing the updated Tu-160M2 at the expense of the fifth-generation PAK DA was made by Russian President Vladimir Putin in May. 

"[Putin] and the Russian defense minister have taken a decision on reviving production of the Tu-160M aircraft," Commander-in-Chief of the Russian Air Force, General Viktor Bondarev said in May. 

This decision to stall the development of the PAK DA and instead focus on the modernization of the Tu-160 reflects the broader difficulties that the Kremlin is facing in modernizing the country's military. Economic sanctions stemming from Russia's aggressive policies in Ukraine and a plunge in oil prices have undercut the Russian economy, leading to defense procurement problems across the military as a whole. 

"The objective reasons for the failure to meet state defense procurement orders include restrictions on the supply of imported parts and materials in connection with sanctions, discontinuation of production and the loss of an array of technologies, insufficient production facilities," Borisov said on July 17 according to The Moscow Times. 

Russia Tu-160 bomber

According to the National Interest, this decision to modernize the Tu-160 in conjunction with Russia's economic distress could ultimately lead to the complete abandonment of the PAK DA. The improvements that the new TU-160M2 will feature include many designs that were intended for the PAK DA, and the modernized aircraft is "also expected to have a service life of around 40 years." 

Among the upgrades for the TU-160M2 are a newly modernized engine that will increase the plane's flight range by over 600 miles, along with several new missiles that will enhance the plane's combat capabilities, IHS Jane's 360 notes

"This will be essentially a new airplane, not a Tu-160 but a Tu-160M2," Borisov said in early June. "According to the plans, this will most likely happen sometime after 2023."

russia armata tankThis isn't the only recent instance of Russia having to scale back on its military modernization ambitions. The Kremlin is also having problems financing its hulking third-generation Armata tank. Harvard scholar Dmitry Gorenburg estimates that Russia will only be able to field a maximum of 330 Armata tanks by 2020, a fraction of the 2,300 originally planned. 

The Kremlin's failure to follow through on projections for high-end weaponry is a common theme. There's a pattern of Russia announcing colossal projects before drastically scaling back its plans. In March, for example, Kremlin media outfit RT announced that Russia would eventually be able to deploy 80 massive PAK TA transport superplanes — even though Russia not having constructed a single prototype of the aircraft. 

In scaling back the Armata and these two advanced aircraft, the Kremlin clearly realizes that it is significantly easier and more cost efficient to continue to modify existing systems for future use — even if that isn't as exciting from a propaganda standpoint.

SEE ALSO: Russia's huge military upgrade hit another snag — and Putin is not happy

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NATO will not establish a permanent military base in Poland amid tensions with Russia

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NATO poland

The NATO alliance will not pursue the establishment of permanent military bases in Poland, a top United States diplomat said Wednesday.

The announcement came during increased tension between NATO and Russia following the alliance’s bid to increase its military presence in Eastern Europe as a check against Russian aggression in the region.

Poland’s government had publicly lobbied NATO to permanently deploy soldiers on its territory due to concern about Russia’s military aggression.

Both the European Union and the United States enacted economic sanctions against Moscow after allegations that it directly supported pro-Russian separatists in eastern Ukraine. But John Heffern, the United States’ deputy assistant secretary of state for Europe and Eurasia, said that NATO would not discuss a new base in Poland at its planned 2016 summit in Warsaw.

“At the NATO summit in Warsaw in July next year, the adoption of resolutions to place permanent NATO bases in Poland will not take place,” Heffern told Rzecpospolita, a Polish newspaper, according to Russian agency Sputnik International News. At the same time, Heffern said the United States would continue to provide a “permanent rotating presence” of American military personnel within Poland.

NATO Force Structure PolandNATO has taken several steps to strengthen its military ties with Eastern European nations that are wary of Russia’s activity. The U.S. Pentagon announced plans last month to deploy about 250 pieces of heavy weaponry to six Eastern European nations, including Poland and the Baltic States of Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania.

At NATO’s summit in Wales in September 2014, defense ministers of the alliance’s member nations agreed to double the size of the organization’s rapid reaction force and to establish a new network of six “command centers” in the Baltic States, Bulgaria, Romania and Poland, Reuters reported. It was unclear if Heffern’s announcement would affect the proposed establishment of a new command center in Poland.

Previously, a top Russian military official warned that Poland’s willingness to host elements of NATO’s anti-missile shield would make the country a target in any future conflict. “Non-nuclear powers where missile-defense installations are being installed have become the objects of priority response,” Russian Gen. Valery Gerasimov said in April, according to the Wall Street Journal.

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Crimeans are about to discover what being part of Putin's Russia really means

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A flag displaying a portrait of Putin flies during a rally to support him near the Kremlin in central Moscow on March 4, 2012. Vladimir Putin had won a resounding victory in Russia's presidential election that weekend, securing a new six-year term as President.More than a year after the anschluss, Crimea is about to experience what a real Russian invasion feels like.

And this time it won't be "polite people" arriving to lead a virtual liberation of the peninsula from the clutches of mythological Ukrainian fascists.

According to a report in Kommersant, the Kremlin is preparing to dispatch an army of political commissars to de facto run Crimea's affairs and oversee the local authorities.

"Deputy Prime Minister Dmitry Kozak has instructed federal departments to draw up a list of candidates from among their high-ranking officials for appointment to posts as first deputy chiefs of the peninsula's executive bodies," the daily reported, citing unidentified Kremlin officials.

You have to wonder whether all those pro-Moscow Crimeans who celebrated last year's annexation had any idea what they were getting themselves into. If they didn't then, they sure do now -- because the honeymoon is definitely over.

"In effect we are talking about a revival of the institution of commissars," a Kremlin official told Kommersant, referring to the Soviet-era institution of Communist Party political officers dispatched to ensure ideological discipline and purity.

"All decisions on key issues relating to the life of Crimea will be made exclusively in coordination with the officials sent from the center," Kommersant quoted one official as saying.

A woman holds a portrait of Putin during celebrations on the main square of the Crimean city of Simferopol in March 2014. Putin signed laws completing Russia's annexation of Crimea, which quickly resulted in US economic sanctions against Russia.Put another way, the Crimean elite is about to feel the crushing embrace of Vladimir Putin's power vertical. And it is about to learn that being part of Russia means being colonized and cannibalized by Putin's cronies.

Let The Purges Begin

And before Crimea's new commissars arrive, Moscow is already beginning to clean house.

Over the past month, the Federal Security Service (FSB) and the Investigative Committee have launched criminal corruption cases against three top Crimean officials, Industrial Minister Andrei Skrynnik, Chief Tax Inspector Nikolai Kochanov, and Yalta Port chief Dmitry Petrov. 

Meanwhile, federal officials have accused Crimea's Ministry of Construction of misappropriating approximately two-thirds of the funds provided to rebuild the peninsula's roads.

Russian media has naturally presented the cases as evidence that the Kremlin is determined to combat corruption, and suggested there would be more to come. 

But corruption investigations in Russia are almost never really about corruption; they're almost always about power struggles and battles over resources.

putin Political analyst Yekaterina Schulmann told The Moscow Times that the cases signal that Crimea is no longer "sacred" and will now be subject to the same pressure and clan battles as any other region.

"The Crimean elite has little chance in this fight because it was built under a completely different system of government -- the Ukrainian system," she said.

"The question is not whether the Ukrainian government was more or less corrupt than Russia. Its system of corruption was built on different lines, and connections led to different people and structures. Now,these connections are no use to anyone and don't offer protection from anything." 

Under Ukrainian rule, Crimea was spectacularly corrupt, enjoyed broad autonomy, and local clans were largely left to run the peninsula's affairs. And now Moscow wants a piece of the action.

'Crimea Has Come Under Attack'

Sergei Aksyonov, the reputed former gangster Moscow installed as Crimea's leader, initially appeared to accept the new order. In a statement posted on the official government website, he said officials "do not have immunity" and "should be held accountable for their actions." 

But days later he changed his tune, saying the cases were "fabricated,"calling the FSB "provocateurs" and accusing it of trying to discredit the Crimean authorities.

"Some characters from the mainland came here and claim that Crimeans are useless idiots and they are heroes who will to change things. I guarantee you, this will not happen," Aksyonov said.

Likewise, the chairman of Crimea's legislature, Vladimir Konstantinov, said "Crimea has come under a serious attack."

map russia ukraine crimeaAnd it is not just the Crimean elite that is about to get a hard lesson about what it means to be subject of the Russian Federation.

The daily Noviye Izvestia reported that the Russian armed forces plan to draft 2,500 Crimean men in the autumn, a fivefold increase over the spring draft. 

Leonid Grach, the former head of Crimea's legislature, noted that anti-Moscow sentiments are rising on the peninsula and the Kremlin could face a rebellion if it is not careful.

Perhaps. And if so, it would likely be suppressed as ruthlessly as it would anyplace else.

If Crimeans are experiencing buyers remorse, its coming a bit late.

Especially now that the commissars are coming.

SEE ALSO: Chilling predictions for what the world will look like in a decade

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Another Russian neighbor with occupied territories is moving toward the EU

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Georgia's Defence Minister Tina Khidasheli attends an official opening ceremony of the joint U.S.-Georgian exercise Noble Partner 2015 at the Vaziani training area outside Tbilisi, Georgia, May 11, 2015Georgian Defense Minister Tina Khidasheli says her country is successfully "conducting a diplomatic war" with Russia, but can only reach Tbilisi's "ultimate goal -- the restoration of its territorial integrity" by completing the country's integration with the European Union.

Khidasheli told RFE/RL in an exclusive interview on July 22 that while "Russia is losing all of its bridgeheads" in diplomatic circles, "Georgia is gaining new friends."

She said Georgia will continue to "move gradually towards European integration, and no provocation can stop or slow this process."

Khidasheli also said "no one has any illusions about Russia," and that "no one in the world today thinks of Russia as a partner."

Accusing Russian military forces of "occupation" in Georgia's breakaway regions of South Ossetia and Abkhazia, Khidasheli said Tbilisi expected that "Russian soldiers themselves" will restore the borders of Georgia to their 1992 positions after the country's integration into the "European family."

Russian troops have remained in South Ossetia and Abkhazia, backing the self-proclaimed governments there, since the Russian-Georgian war in August 2008.

SEE ALSO: The US is practicing military drills in Russia's backyard

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A brazen bank robbery and Russian money laundering have plunged Moldova into one of the most bizarre financial crises on earth

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The bank theft was so outsized and bold that citizens of the Republic of Moldova came out in the streets this past May by the thousands to protest: “We want our billion back!”

They used the number — US$ 1 billion – that news accounts reported had gone missing from three Moldovan banks in November of 2014.  Unsure who to blame, the protestors denounced the government, politicians, banks and organized crime.

The theft was a serious setback for Moldova, one of Europe’s poorest countries, with a gross domestic product of only US$ 8 billion and an average wage of US$ 200 per month.

It set off chaos in the local banking system and led to the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund suspending financial aid to the country earlier this year. The European Union also froze funding for Moldova until a new government was formed. These moves prompted fears that the country might default on its international obligations.

The protestors last spring, outraged as they were, didn’t know the half of what had been done to them. The November billion was just the latest outrageous crime in a massive, decade-long series by criminals who use this small, Eastern European country as their personal bank.

They also didn’t know that police could have shut down the ring years ago when they confiscated key company stamps and documents central to the corruption ring. But higher-ups stepped in and prevented arrests. The police returned the stamps and documents — which were then used six years later to launder huge sums.

Moldova’s problem goes way behind a single audacious theft.  It involves a transnational nexus of government workers, organized criminals and businessmen, all of them untouchable despite their crimes.

A police investigation continues but it seems nobody in the government or law enforcement has had the knowledge, skill, or desire to get at the root of the problem.

The Organized Crime and Corruption Reporting Project (OCCRP) analyzed tens of thousands of records, and found that the same people who stole the bank money operated a seemingly unrelated, large-scale, money laundering operation that laundered more than US$ 20 billion, much of it from Russian and Russian state companies, over the past seven years.

“The main authors of the theft are not in Moldova, they are in the east,” said former Prime Minister Ion Sturza in a television interview. “Moldova laundered Russian Federation money.”

The vanishing billions

russia ruble banknote

Moldova is a tiny country squeezed between the interests of Russia and the European Union. Despite or perhaps because of its rampant poverty, it has grown into one of the biggest money laundering hubs on the continent.

Billions in black money flow annually through local banks. Moldova is a proxy: Most of the money flowing through its banking system is not Moldovan. But the process has corrupted Moldovan society and wreaked havoc on the country’s politics, economy and judiciary.

The November billion vanished after the banks gave loans to companies owned by people whose identities remain hidden in a maze of offshore corporations. The borrowers took the money and ran. The collapse of these loans was a serious blow to a Moldovan banking sector already buffeted by corruption scandals:

  • The Magnitsky Affair began in 2007 when US$ 230 million was stolen from the Russian budget. Eventually, the money was routed through a group of Moldovan banks; some of it was traced to high-end real estate in New York City.
  • The Russian Laundromat, uncovered by OCCRP in October of 2014, was much bigger, passing US$ 20 billion in stolen Russian funds through some of the same Moldovan banks en route to Europe.

The Moldovan government did try to trace the missing billion. In January 2015, it hired the private global due-diligence company, Kroll Inc. Kroll’s first report was leaked to the public by Andrian Candu, the Moldovan Parliament’s president, just days before the mass protests. It revealed little about who ended up with the money, further deepening the mystery.

moldova parliament Andrian Candu

Following the Kroll report, the Moldovan authorities placed Israeli-born businessman Ilan Shor under house arrest. Shor’s name had been mentioned in the report in connection with the bad loans. Shor runs Banca de Economii bank (the bank involved in the Magnitsky case and one of the three banks robbed) and a football club in Moldova.

Police are still investigating Shor and consider him a suspect in the theft, but they are unsure of his role. He says he’s innocent. In June, he was elected mayor of the small town of Orhei in Moldova.

A major stumbling block for investigators was the fact that in November 2014, right after the theft, an armored transport vehicle carrying 12 sacks of bank documents related to the fraud was stolen and burned in what looked like a well-executed plan to erase any trail that might have led back to the organizers.

This was deja-vu.

The same thing happened in the Magnitsky case, when a truck carrying bank records related to that theft crashed and burned, impairing the ability of the Russian law enforcement to investigate.

The raiders and the stamps

Chisinau riot moldova police

The fondness for using Moldovan banks for crime dates back a decade. The mid 2000s were wild years when the local police were overwhelmed by both the advanced money laundering techniques the fraudsters developed and by rampant corruption in their own ranks.

A confidential 2011 Moldovan police report summarized that:  “Our investigations and analysis indicate that an organized group specialized in ‘raider’ attacks against large companies operates on the territories of Moldova, Ukraine and Russia. Between 2005 and 2010, this group used decisions issued by courts in Moldova, Ukraine and Moldova to get more than US$ 100 million.”

(A raider attack is the hostile and illegal takeover of a company, sometimes achieved through violence and sometimes through forgery, fraud or corrupt court decisions).

In some cases the raiders were only interested in extorting large sums from companies. A typical scheme might involve getting corrupt judges in Moldova or Ukraine to issue judgments in the raiders’ favor in cases where they claimed fictitious debts from state-owned commercial entities.

Using the court-approved debt as a basis, they could legally take over the company.

The report details a few such cases at length, but one in particular, Penal Case 2008030181, seeded the huge money-laundering tsunami that crashed over the country in the following years.

The lost opportunity

moldova chisinau

In July 2008, Moldovan law enforcement officers were working a relatively small $4 million fraud case when the investigation led them to 67 Bucharest Street in the center of the Moldovan capital of Chisinau. They raided three offices there and confiscated six desktop computers full of files.

It was all pretty routine, until they located three paper boxes under one desk that contained “an imposing number” of official rubber stamps belonging to companies registered in exotic offshore locations.

Two of the stamps were related to the fraud they were investigating, but the rest meant nothing to them: Mirabax Limited, Liberton Associates, Felina Investments, Albany Insurance, Caldon Holdings and many other companies, including some based in the US state of Delaware or the United Kingdom.

Some belonged to Moldovan companies and one of these, Luminare LTD, was a company founded by Veaceslav Platon, a key player in Moldovan political and business circles. Platon, 42, is Moldova’s sixth richest businessman and a politician with dual Moldovan-Russian citizenship.  He was a member of the Moldovan Parliament between 2009 and 2010.

He has also been on the governing board of at least two Moldovan banks including Moldindconbank, which has frequently been at the center of money-laundering controversies. He is frequently called by media “The No. 1 Raider in Moldova.”

As police were staring at the boxes of stamps in downtown Chisinau, in neighboring Ukraine their counterparts were conducting their own investigation into a string of raider attacks including the same $4 million fraud.

moldova bank 1 2015 5 4

They, too, found rubber stamps stashed in an apartment in the outskirts of the Ukrainian capital of Kiev, as well as blank stationery stamped with company letterheads  such as the British-based Goldbridge Trading Limited, a company already involved by 2006 in laundering money and defrauding at least one Moldovan company.

Platon’s name popped up in the Kiev raid as well, but this time the name of the Moldovan-Russian politician was imprinted on powers-of-attorney documents issued by Moldindconbank.

An investigator present at the 2008 Moldova raid, who declined to be identified because he is not authorized to speak, said, “In those times the big frauds, the raider attacks, were conducted via Moscow-Minsk-Kiev-Chisinau.”

Then something really strange happened.

On July 23, less than two weeks after the Moldovan law enforcement seized the stamps and the computers, an order came from high up to return everything. The report says the police did not even have the time to perform forensic tests on the evidence.

Penal Case 2008030181 got shelved and was never worked on again. No investigation was ever concluded on the Ukrainian side, either.

These same companies would be used over and over again in a series of massive money-laundering operations that siphoned billions of dollars out of Russia and, moving through Moldova, into the European Union.

Neither the Moldovan investigators, nor their Ukrainian counterparts, knew they had been on the brink of stopping one of the biggest money-laundering operations uncovered in Europe.

The agents and the easterners

Kroll

In the beginning of 2015, while the Moldovan government was asking Kroll to investigate the November theft, OCCRP reporters were knocking on doors thousands of kilometers away from Chisinau, in Edinburgh, Scotland.

Two street addresses on Brunswick Street in the Scottish capital kept popping up in records of the British companies involved in the November billion theft, and also in many other much bigger instances of massive money-laundering and raider attacks in Eastern Europe.

Brunswick Street does not look affluent. Cheap cars are parked outside terraced red brick housing and the two addresses don’t look like the headquarters for multi-billion-dollar businesses.

The people who live there are “formation agents”, people who set up companies for others who wish to conceal their identities, and “proxies” or front men for the people who actually own the companies.

At one of the Brunswick Street addresses, the door was answered by Ishbel Papantoniou, a plump lady in her early 60s who is the wife of the man behind the Brunswick companies, Marios Papantoniou. He is a former chief tax inspector in Cyprus who moved to Edinburgh in the early 1990s and set up an accounting and company-formation business there.

At first, Ms. Papantoniou greeted a Russian-speaking reporter in a friendly manner. She said that “a lot of Russian companies, from what I know, register so they can work within Europe.” She also added that Russian businesses might want to do this because “it opens a world with less restrictions, so to speak.”

On a second visit, however, Ms. Papantoniou became agitated when the reporter told her that OCCRP was investigating high-level money-laundering operations involving companies where she, her husband, her son and her 81-year-old mother showed up in paperwork.

A sign informs motorists of entering the territory of the autonomous Moldovan province Gagauzia, March, 27, 2014. REUTERS/Viktor Dimitrov

“I don’t think that’s any of your concern at all. You’re looking into something that you’ve no idea what you’re getting into,” she said. “We offer office facilities for these companies … there’s absolutely nothing that’s illegal or anything. You’re trying to find something in a company that’s providing services, that pays income tax, that provides employment for people in this country.”

The offices next door belong to a company called Axiano that was also established by Marios Papantoniou. This company, too, was the registration agent for a number of companies involved in Eastern European fraud. In the office reception area, several women were having lunch. A closed-circuit TV camera was trained on the entrance.

A young woman answered and, in an Eastern European accent, said that Marios Papantoniou wasn’t available, but his son Alexandros was.

The former tax chief inspector’s son arrived soon after but seemed nervous and reluctant to speak. Expressionless, he brushed aside the questions with the invariable statement, “the best person to talk to might be my father.”

OCCRP made one more attempt to talk to Marios Papantoniou to seek his response to a document signed by Kerry Jane Farrington, an employee of the local Edinburgh Crematorium, who Papantoniou used as a proxy in companies he established for Eastern Europeans.

Marios Papantoniou was unavailable, so OCCRP left the document with a Russian-speaking office worker. Marios Papantoniou promptly responded via email but refused to answer questions about the involvement of his companies in Eastern corruption and crime.

The grand mockery

On April 5, 2013, Moldovan Judge Victor Orindas issued a verdict: a group of Russian companies must send US$ 580 million to the Latvian bank account of Mirabax Investments Limited, a Brunswick company connected to Marios Papantoniou and one of the companies whose rubber stamp was confiscated and then returned by the police back in 2008.

The scam, outlined in OCCRP’s series The Russian Laundromat, was simple. A Russian company wishing to move money into Europe would guarantee a contract signed between two fake companies. Then one of the fake companies would file a complaint against the other in a Moldovan court for non-payment and ask that the guarantor, the Russian company, make good on the unfulfilled contract.  

A bribed Moldovan judge would certify the debt as real and order payment.  Then the Russian company would pay the fake company, which was actually working with them.  Combined with the judge’s order, the money could be moved through Moldova into a Latvian bank account — freshly laundered and ready to use.

The rubber stamps the police briefly seized seven years previously were used over and over again on documents that were introduced as evidence into Moldovan courts to falsely certify debts that finally amounted to US$ 20 billion.

By 2012, the organized crime group that began operations in 2005 had upped their game significantly and had become brazen. The initial frauds totaling millions had turned into billions. When Judge Orindas issued the US$ 580 million verdict he was ruling on a clumsily forged document; other judges across Moldova did likewise, enabling the criminals to move huge volumes of money from Russia.

All the Moldovan rulings were based on promissory notes presented as evidence to courts. In the case of the US$ 580 million, the promissory note was concluded between a Delaware company called Albany Insurance and a British companyGolbridge Trading Limited.

Albany promised to pay Golbridge more than half a billion US dollars and the note is signed by a Mrs. Jasse Grant Hester and rubber-stamped with Albany’s stamp, another one of the stamps seized and returned back in 2008.

moldova fraud forgery fake counterfeit

But there is no Golbridge Trading in the UK and there is no Mrs. Jasse Grant Hester. There is, however, a Mr. Jesse Grant Hester who is the director of the Delaware-based Albany Insurance and there is a London-based Goldbridge Trading Limited, a company connected to Brunswick street and, again, one of the names that emerged in the police operations conducted six years earlier in Moldova and Ukraine. In the end, Goldbridge diverted the money to Mirabax, the company that ultimately cashed in in its Latvian bank account.

It’s likely the criminals slightly altered the names each time to provide some deniability and reduce the traceability should the scheme ever get discovered.

The Moldovan judge could have annulled the proceedings just by comparing the promissory note to the other documents in the court file where the original documents spelled the names correctly. In at least one case the fraud was even easier to spot as the text on the promissory note said Golbridge while the name of the company on the rubber stamp that was applied in the lower right corner was spelled correctly as Goldbridge.

Judge Orindas and other judges in Moldova chose instead to ignore the blatant forgeries. Some are now under investigation for their role.

All the promissory notes used to siphon more than US$ 20 billion from Russia were forged in the same way.

moldova fraud counterfeit fake

On the Russia-Moldova-Latvia route, the money was held for a short time by Moldindconbank, where Veaceslav Platon served as vice president. By the time the transfer transited the bank, Moldindconbank was owned by offshore companies including a Gibraltar firm connected to Jesse Grant Hester, a Brit working as a formation agent and living in Mauritius, and to another proxy, James Damian Calderbank, another British formation agent living in Dubai. Both names, Calderbank and Hester, kept on appearing in the Laundromat’s deals but neither would answer OCCRP’s questions. Platon did not answer repeated attempts to contact him.

The Bad Banks

The three banks involved in the November theft were owned in the same way as Moldindconbank, by secretive offshore companies. None of the offshores owned more than five percent of any bank, keeping them below the threshold which would trigger greater Moldovan Central Bank scrutiny and ultimately approval. Recently, Moldova lowered that threshold to one percent in the hope of driving out corrupt practices.

These ownership schemes were created after 2008 before the wholesale money laundering started. OCCRP looked at the records and found out that many of the offshore companies involved in the bank’s ownership are also connected to the companies that got the big, unsecured loans on which they would later default.

The same formation agents and proxies have been used over and over. The offshore companies owning the banks also followed geopolitical lines:  when war broke out between Ukraine and Russia, the Ukrainian proxies were quickly replaced with Russian citizens.

Meanwhile, the citizens of Moldova are left wondering who stole the November billion.

Sturza, the former prime minister, said those involved in the corruption includes a who’s who of Moldovan politics, sport and culture. But he said many were used as pawns.

“… Platon and Shor coordinated from the outside and executed the schemes in the Republic of Moldova,” he said during an interview with the Interpol TV show in Chisinau.

Sturza said when the amounts being laundered grew to be so huge, the Moldovans demanded a bigger cut, which ultimately led to a collapse of the system.

Platon left Moldova on Feb. 14, 2014, and has not returned. He is under investigation for his role in the theft.

SEE ALSO: This Google Earth trick proves that Russia lied about the passenger plane shot down in eastern Ukraine

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NOW WATCH: Politician Dressed As Darth Vader Says He Is The Only One Who Can Unite Ukraine

U.S. troops to train regular Ukrainian military troops - State Department

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Servicemen of the U.S. Army's 173rd Airborne Brigade Combat Team (standing) train members of the Ukrainian National Guard during a joint military exercise called

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - U.S. troops will begin training regular Ukrainian military forces later this year in an expansion of their current mission, which so far has been limited to instructing Interior Ministry national guard units, the State Department said on Friday.

"This training is part of our long-running defense cooperation with Ukraine and is taking place at the invitation of the Ukraine government. This additional program brings our total security assistance committed to Ukraine since 2014 to over $244 million," State Department Mark Toner said.

Lieutenant General Ben Hodges, head of U.S. Army forces in Europe, said earlier this month that U.S. officials were discussing expanding the military training to include regular Ukrainian troops under the Defense Ministry.

The training is part of U.S. efforts to strengthen Ukraine's security following Russia's seizure of the Crimea last year and the spread of separatist unrest in eastern, Russian-speaking regions of Ukraine.

Hodges said officials were looking at training army and special operations troops, likely focusing on skills like tactics and combat medicine. He said the expanded training mission did not mean the administration would be providing Ukraine with lethal arms.

The United States has provided Ukrainian forces with non-lethal aid to help them battle Russian-backed rebels, but the administration has resisted providing lethal arms in hopes of preventing an escalation of the conflict.

Some U.S. officials have called for giving Ukraine more sophisticated counter-battery radar to help them fight back against artillery and mortar fire from the rebels.

Toner said he had nothing to announce on any new weapons for Ukraine and that the focus was on providing non-lethal aid.

"There's no plan to change that," he said.

He said the training would begin in western Ukraine near the Polish border later this autumn. The Pentagon said the training offered to regular Ukrainian military troops would be similar to that given to the national guard forces.

U.S. forces in Europe have been training the Ukrainian guard since this spring, focusing on strengthening internal defense capabilities.

SEE ALSO: A brazen bank robbery and Russian money laundering have plunged Moldova into one of the most bizarre financial crises on earth

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Russia is gearing up for the 2018 World Cup launch

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Men juggle with a football next to a banner promoting the preliminary draw for the 2018 FIFA World Cup in St. Petersburg on July 24, 2015

Saint Petersburg (AFP) - The starting gun for the 2018 World Cup in Russia will be fired on Saturday as 141 national sides await their fate in the qualifying draw in Saint Petersburg.

Draws will be conducted for the qualifying process in five of FIFA's six confederations, excluding Asia where qualifying has already began.

The ceremony will be conducted by a star-studded lineup including Brazilian legend Ronaldo, Samuel Eto'o and Italian World Cup winning captain Fabio Cannavaro in grand surroundings at the Konstantin Palace.

However, Zenit St Petersburg forward Hulk will not take part after being dropped from the lineup just days after criticising the level of racism faced by players in Russia with both FIFA and the Local Organising Committee citing his club commitments as the reason for his withdrawal.

Football's elite will be joined by Russian president Vladimir Putin, but the lead up to the draw has been dominated by the corruption crisis engulfing FIFA.

Despite being the first official event in the build-up to the World Cup in three years' time it is also likely to be the last major occasion overseen by Sepp Blatter as FIFA president.

The 79-year-old has been in charge of world football's governing body for 17 years, but is due to relinquish his duties when a new president is elected on Februay 26.

Blatter's decision to step down despite winning an election for a fifth term in June was precipitated by US authorities filing corruption charges against seven FIFA officials.

In a separate investigation, Swiss authorities are looking into possible irregularities in the controversial dual process which saw Russia and Qatar awarded the World Cups in 2018 and 2022 respectively.

Otkrytie Arena Russia World Cup 2018However, Russia is actively pressing ahead with its preparations to host the tournament with the schedule for both the Confederations Cup in 2017 and the big event a year later unveiled on Friday.

All 12 stadiums in the 11 host cities will host four group games with only Kaliningrad, Volgograd and Ekaterinburg missing out on the knockout stages.

The opening game and the final will take place in Moscow's Luzhniki stadium.

And FIFA secretary general Jerome Valcke hailed the state of the preparations in Russia in comparison to the last minute solutions that had to be sought before last year's World Cup in Brazil.

"We are very happy with the work which has been delivered," he said.

"The World Cup 2018 is on track, as I have said before it is a high speed train and I can say that in certain parts of the organisation we are in advance based on the current timetable we have."

The only host city causing concern is Kaliningrad, a Russian enclave bordered by Lithuania and Poland, where construction has not yet started on a planned 35,000 capacity stadium.

"Kaliningrad will be up to its tasks and duties and the stadium will be there in time," Russian sports minister Vitaly Mutko insisted on Friday.

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3 early tank designs that were too ridiculous to function

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Tanks are a staple of ground warfare. Militaries around the world deploy a wide range of tanks, but typically they conform to some basic principals. In nearly all of them, a large turret sits on top of an armored vehicle that moves on treads.

However, this wasn't always the case. In the early 20th century, engineers around the world were scrambling to figure out how exactly to pass uneven terrain and mobilize troops. This period of innovation resulted in today's technologically marvelous tanks, but before that, they had some truly outrageous ideas.

The Tsar Tank

Tsar tankTank development was in its earliest stages when Tsar Nicholas II ruled Russia in the first decades of the 20th century. The Tsar differed from modern tanks in that it didn't have treads, instead using two massive 27-foot-tall front wheels and a small third wheel, 5 feet in diameter, that trailed behind for steering. Reportedly, when Nicholas II saw a model of the tank roll over a stack of books he was sold on the project, and gave it his blessing.

Russian engineers Nikolai Lebedenko, Nikolai Zhukovsky, Boris Stechkin, and Alexander Mikulin developed the Tsar from 1914 to 1915. The vehicle resembled a hanging bat when viewed from above, so it gained the nickname "Netopyr" which translates to "pipistrellus," the genus name for "bats."

The giant, bicycle-style wheels in front of the tank did prove effective for traversing a variety of terrains. But they severely limited the firing range of the 12 water-cooled machine guns situated in between the massive wheels. Thanks to two 250 horsepower Sunbeam engines powering either wheel, the Tsar could reach a respectable speed of up to 10.5 mph.

Tsar_tank_modelBut mobility eventually doomed the Tsar.

When testing began in a forest outside of Moscow, the rear wheel became mired in soft soil. Despite the Russian military's best efforts to free the 60-ton behemoth, it remained in that spot until 1923 when it was sold for scrap.

The Boirault Machine

boirault machine wwiThe French also had their own ideas about what a mobile weapons platform should look like.

In 1914, a few months before Britain began work on the "Little Willy" tank that would set the precedent for modern tanks, French engineer Louis Boirault presented the French War Ministry with plans for the Boirault Machine.

Boirault's tank design was 26 feet high, and has been described as a "rhomboid-shaped skeleton tank without armor, with a single overhead track.” The machine weighed a whopping 30 tons, and was powered by a single 80 horsepower motor which enabled the craft to move at a leisurely rate of less than 1 mph.

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The singular tracked "wheel" that encompassed the Boirault was nearly 80 feet long and had a cumbersome 330 foot turn radius, earning it the nickname"Diplodocus Militarus," after one of the longest and most sluggish dinosaurs of all time.

Boirault_machine_underwayThe Boirault did have success in crossing over trenches and trampling barbed wire. But more conventional tanks were taking shape around Europe by 1915, and the French War Ministry abandoned the project.

The Screw Tank

Screw_propelled_vehicleBefore tracked wheels came into prominence as the most efficient way to traverse difficult terrain, there was some exploration into corkscrew-driven machines that could twist and crush their way through ice, snow, and mud. As early as 1899 patents were filed for agricultural machines that utilized auger-like wheels for work in the fields.

Screw Propelled Weasle PrototypeIn the 1920s, the Armstead Snow-Motor kit made waves across the Northern US and Canada as a screw-driven tractor that could haul up to 20 tons through unwelcoming northern conditions.

Then, in World War II, the unorthodox inventor Geoffrey Pyke worked with the US military to developed a screw-driven tank to pass over ice and snow in Northern Europe.

The tank made it to a prototype stage, but was never fully realized and died on the drawing board.

Recently, the idea of a screw tank has resurfaced, with the Russians seemingly perfecting the design as illustrated in the video below:

 

SEE ALSO: The 5 most bizarre weapons of World War II

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NOW WATCH: Russia reveals new high-tech weapon vehicles in a rehearsal for the country's biggest military parade

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